Lesson 5 Impulse Pullback Strategy FX M15 By Adam Khoo
[email protected] Copyright © Adam Khoo Learning Technologies Group Pte Ltd 2017
Impulse Pullback The Impulse Pullback (IP) is a strategy that seeks to long FX pairs that have pulled back after just starting a new uptrend and shorting FX pairs that have just pulled back after starting a new downtrend. Time frames: M15 optimal, Trade Duration = < 6 Hours Frequency: 15-40 trades a month All FX Pairs : GBPUSD, EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, USDCAD, AUDUSD Must use brokers with tight spreads of 1 to 2 pips maximum The idea is to identify the beginning of a new short term impulsive trend, wait for a pullback and place a buy (sell) order to catch the continuation of the trend.
SELL
BUY
Candle Price Action Definitions Uptrend (Long Setups) Pullback Candle
• Candle that makes lower high and lower low versus previous candle
Inside Bar
• Candle that makes a lower high and higher low versus previous candle
Pullback candle
Inside Bar
Downtrend (Short Setups) Pullback Candle
• Candle that makes higher high and higher low versus previous candle
Inside Bar
• Candle that makes a lower high and higher low versus previous candle
Pullback candle
Inside Bar
Long Setup The new trend is signalled by a 6/18EMA crossover For long entries • A new uptrend is signalled by the 6EMA crossing above the 18EMA • We want to see an immediate corrective pullback after the uptrend • The candle immediately at or after the crossover signal is known as the Swing High (SH) candle • The next candle after the SH candle must make a lower high for it to be a valid setup. It could either be a pullback or inside bar
Long Entry with 1 Pullbacks
Swing high Buy entry Pull back Uptrend signal 6 cross 18ema
Long Setup
Long Entry with 2 Pullbacks
Pull back Pull back
Swing high
Buy entry
Uptrend signal 6 cross 18ema
Long Setup Long Entry with Inside bar, pullback, inside bar
Inside bar Pull back Inside bar
Swing high Buy entry
Uptrend signal 6 cross 18ema
Rule for Pullbacks (Long Setup) No more than 3 Pullbacks for a long position No limit for number of inside bars Price should not pullback below the 50MA Swing High
PB PB PB maximum 3 pullbacks
50MA
Short Setup For Short entries • A new downtrend is signalled by the 6EMA crossing below the 18EMA • We want to see an immediate corrective pullback after the downtrend • The candle immediately at or after the crossover signal is known as the Swing Low (SL) candle • The next candle after the SL candle must make a Higher Low for it to be a valid setup. It could either be a pullback or inside bar Pull back Pull back Downtrend signal 6cross18ema Sell entry
Swing Low
Short Setup Short Entry with 3 Pullbacks
Pull back Pull back Pull back Sell entry
Downtrend signal Swing Low 6cross18ema
Short Setup Short Entry with Inside bar, Pullback
Pull back Inside bar
Sell entry
Downtrend signal 6cross18ema
Swing Low
Rule for Pullbacks (Short Setup) No more than 3 Pullbacks for a Short position No limit for number of inside bars Price should not pullback above the 50MA
PB
SL
PB PB
50MA
Chart Setup 6EMA,18EMA, 50 EMA 200MA
Long Setup Entry Rules 1) Bullish signal from 6EMA crossing above 18EMA 2) 6EMA and 18EMA above 50EMA. 50EMA above 200MA 3) Swing High (SH) after bullish signal is followed by pullback (PB) or an inside bar (IB) + a pullback (PB)- maximum 3 pullbacks. 4) Higher time frame H1candles on Uptrend (6EMA>18EMA>50MEA>200MA) 5) Entry: Place Buy Stop Order just above last valid IB or PB (Trigger Bar). 6) Stop Loss: Place a Sell Stop Order just below the lowest pullback candle 7) The stop loss distance (Entry to Stop Loss) will be the 1R distance. This should be at least 8 pips 8) Target Price: Place a Sell Limit Order 1.5R above the entry price Low Risk Filters • No major news release within the next 10 candles (i..e 150 mins for M15) • No significant resistance levels within 1.5R of the entry price • Ideally, the pullback candles find ‘support’ at the moving averages
Long GBP USD 28 August
1 Pullback
SH Sell Limit 1.2912
6cross18ema
20 pips
Buy Stop 1.2892
PB Price above 50EMA Pullback candle finds support at MAs
13 pips Sell Stop 1.2879
Long USDJPY 30 August Price above 50ema Pullback candle finds support at MAs Inside Bar, Pullback SH 6cross18ema
Sell Limit 109.92 12 pips Buy Stop 109.80 Sell Stop109.72
8 pips
Long EUR USD 5 May Price above 50EMA Pullback candle finds support at MAs SH IB, PB, IB, PB
Sell Limit 1.0989 12 pips Buy Stop 1.0977 8 pips Sell Stop 1.0969
6cross18ema
Long EUR USD 16 Feb SH Price above 50EMA Pullback candle finds support at MAs
Sell Limit 1.0989 14 pips Buy Stop 1.0977
IB, IB
9 pips Sell Stop 1.0969
6cross18ema
When Doing a Long Trade on M15… H1 Chart Must Show Uptrend M15 Chart
H1 Chart
When Doing a Long Trade on M15… H1 Chart Must Show Uptrend M15 Chart
H1 Chart
Check Forexfactory for Upcoming RED News and Avoid trading 10 candles before news.
8.30pm CAD USD News
Check Forexfactory for Upcoming RED News and Avoid trading 10 candles before news.
8.30pm CAD USD News
Is This a Valid Setup?
Is This a Valid Setup?
Short Setup Entry Rules 1) Bearish signal from 6ema crossing below 18ema 2) 6EMA and 18EMA below 50EMA. 50EMA below 200MA 3) Swing low (SL) after bearish signal is followed by a Pullback (PB) or an inside bar (IB) and a pullback (PB)- maximum 3 pullbacks. 4) Higher time frame H1candles on Downtrend (6EMA<18EMA<50EMA<200MA) 5) Entry: Place Sell Stop Order just below last valid IB or PB (Trigger Bar). 6) Stop Loss: Place a Buy Stop Order just above the highest pullback candle 7) The stop loss distance (Entry to Stop Loss) will be the 1R distance. This should be at least 8 pips 8) Target Price: Place a Buy Limit Order (Profit target) 1.5R below the entry price Low Risk Filters • No Major News release within the next 10 candles (i.e. 150 minutes for M15) • No significant support levels within 1.5R of the entry price • Ideally, the pullback candles find ‘Resistance’ at the moving averages
Short USD JPY 28 July IB PB 1 Pullback
Buy Stop 111.17 13 pips
6cross18ema
Sell Stop 111.04 20 pips SL
Price below 50ema Pullback candle finds resistance at MAs
Buy Limit 110.84
Short AUD CAD 31 AUG 1 Pullback PB Buy Stop 0.9902 8 pips SL 6cross18ema
Price below 50ema Pullback candle finds resistance at MAs
Sell Stop 0.9894 12 pips Buy Limit 0.9882
Short GBP USD 21 Sept 1 Pullback PB
Buy Stop 1.3496
8 pips
Sell Stop 1.3488
6cross18ema
Price below 50ema Pullback candle finds resistance at MAs
SL
12 pips Buy Limit 1.3476
When Doing a Short Trade on M15… H1 Chart Must Show A Downtrend M15 Chart SL
H1 Chart
Entry
Swing low Target
Is This a Valid Setup?
Is This a Valid Setup?
Spreads on Pairs should be Less Than 2 pips
Risk & Trade Management 1. Set a Target profit (TP) of 1.5R 2. Wait for the price to either hit the target price (1.5R) or stop loss price of -1R
Lesson 5 Impulse Pullback Strategy FX M15 By Adam Khoo
[email protected] Copyright © Adam Khoo Learning Technologies Group Pte Ltd 2017